TORONTO — North American stock markets followed the worst first quarter since the 2008 financial crisis with an April 1st that was no joke.
Markets each sustained triple-digit losses following U.S. President Donald Trump’s gloomy outlook about the severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic.
In a news conference Tuesday, he warned of a “very, very painful two weeks” ahead and 100,000 to 240,000 deaths predicted in the months to come.
Trump’s pushback against hopes for a start to the recovery also weighed on investor sentiment, said Greg Taylor, chief investment officer of Purpose Investments.
“I think there was some optimism that things could start to reopen by the end of April. And now people are saying it’s going to be a lot longer and into the summer,” he said in an interview.
In addition, Taylor said some rebalancing that typically comes with the period surrounding the end of the quarter and month exceeded expectations.
The S&P/TSX composite index closed down 516.82 points or nearly four per cent to 12,861.93.
Investors will be watching closely for some corporate guidance as the earnings season begins in the next few days.
While many companies have revised their outlooks downward in light of the impact of the novel coronavirus, some have done better in this environment.
Certain tech companies are benefiting as people adapt to working from home while the use of the interent and streaming services have accelerated.
“So there’ll be a few companies that will offer good, good numbers,” Taylor said.
And some retailers may be able to prove that their business models work as consumers have hoarded or stocked up ahead of being locked down in their homes to curtail the spread of the virus.
“We need to start separating between winners and losers and figure out what companies can actually weather the storm and come out stronger on the other side.”
The Canadian dollar traded for 70.34 cents US compared with an average of 70.49 cents US on Tuesday.
Ten of the 11 major sectors of the TSX were lower with heavyweight financials down more than five per cent after enjoying a bit of a bound in the last few days. Shares of CI Financial Corp. and Genworth MI Canada Inc. were down 10.9 and 10.5 per cent respectively.
Health care dipped 6.3 per cent as cannabis company Hexo Corp. was off nearly 14 per cent.
A 12.3 per cent drop in shares of Martinrea International Inc. pulled down consumer discretionary while industrials was lower on a 9.7 per cent drop by SNC-Lavalin Inc. and 8.2 per cent decrease by Air Canada.
Energy was also lower as Frontera Energy Corp. shares dropped 12.2 per cent.
The May crude contract was down 17 cents at US$20.31 per barrel and the May natural gas contract was down 5.3 cents at US$1.59 mmBTU.
The June gold contract was down US$5.20 at US$1,591.40 an ounce and the May copper contract was down 5.35 cents at US$2.17 a pound.
Materials was the only sector to rise, with Kinross Gold Corp. shares gaining more than 11 per cent.
Taylor said Wednesday’s decrease in manufacturing PMI data in Canada and the United States, along with weaker U.S. consumer confidence, lower new orders for U.S.-made goods and a cut of 27,000 in private payrolls didn’t have much of an impact because they reflected the pre-COVID period.
However, everyone will be watching Thursday’s unemployment number as last week’s record 3.3 million claims weighed heavily.
“Everyone’s expecting really awful numbers from payrolls, from new sales and from auto sales,” Taylor said.
He added that markets won’t bounce back until there’s clear signs that the growth in infection rates and deaths level off and start to decline.
“I think we need to get see when we get peak in the U.S., when Europe starts to get to the other side of it and things start to recover. And until that I think people are going to be more fearing the worst and unwilling to put a lot of capital behind buying dips.”
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Frank Gunn